CEDAR cedareurope.org

Catalyst for European Democratic Autonomy and Resilience

RESISTANCE
RESILIENCE
RENAISSANCE

"The power of Europe doesn't lie in the borders between our countries, but in the states of mind of its citizens."

— David Kenning

Europe's psychological power is not waiting to be constructed. It is waiting to be recognised.

What we are

CEDAR reframes European strategic autonomy as a psychosocial project, not just a geopolitical one. The argument is not that Europe lacks strength — it is that Europe has not yet learned to feel the strength it already has. Thirteen of the world's twenty leading democracies are European.* That inheritance — resistance, resilience, renaissance — runs deep in European memory. CEDAR exists to make it felt.

*Economist Intelligence Unit Democracy Index, 2024

Europe cannot seize the geopolitical moment unless it liberates and coordinates the psychological power of its citizens.

Democracy was founded on a triptych — liberty, equality, fraternity.

Liberté

Protected by courts and charters. Liberty has spent two centuries building institutional infrastructure to defend itself.

Égalité

Lives in welfare policies and rights frameworks. Equality has legal architecture, however imperfect, to sustain it.

Fraternité

Has no protection. It exists only in felt relationships, shared narrative, the sense of common fate. That is why it is the most vulnerable of the three.

The assault on European democracy is, at its core, an assault on fraternity. Not on legal architecture — on the psychological bonds that make citizens feel they are in something together.

The far right understands this. It does not persuade people with ideologies — it gives them identities to inhabit. It hands people a character: we are the ones who have been abandoned, who see clearly, who belong here. Once someone is in character, the follow-through is easy. Algorithmic media supplies the fragments; the far right assembles them into a self.

The test is not whether cosmopolitan Europeans feel at home across borders. It is whether a Polish truck driver and a Spanish factory worker feel, in some meaningful sense, that their fates are linked. That fraternity will not be built by policy. It will be built — or not — at the level where CEDAR works.

The work

The fraternal state of mind that holds European democracy together can be nourished or it can be eroded. Those are the only two directions available to it. Regulation can defend liberty and equality — but fraternity moves through other channels: through narrative, through felt common fate, through the sense that one's story and another's are part of the same thing. The principals of CEDAR have spent their careers in the places where that sense either holds or breaks down — in political conflicts, in counter-radicalisation work, in the architecture of democratic communication under pressure. The essays below are where that experience meets the current moment.

Paul Bell

Witness

A review essay on objectivity, conscience, and what it means to bear witness as a journalist — from apartheid-era South Africa to Georgia's slide into autocracy. Published in Defence Strategic Communications, Volume 17, Spring 2026.

Read the essay

David Kenning and Mark Linder

The Fourth Domain: Fraternité as the Opt-In

David Kenning and Mark Linder argue that European autonomy requires realising and leveraging our socio-psychological power of fraternité — building infrastructure that makes shared fate real before anyone is asked to believe in it.

Read the essay

Founders / Working group

CEDAR's founders are not working from theory alone. Between them, they bring direct experience of societies under psychological siege — of democratic culture fragmenting at the edges, of the specific moment when citizens stop feeling they share a fate. Paul Bell has tracked the external and internal assault on European democratic psychology through his work with NATO and allied institutions. David Kenning has spent decades advising governments on counter-radicalisation and the mass psychology of social fracture — work that began in Northern Ireland, where the cost of lost fraternity was measured in lives. Dana Eyre has studied democratic stability as a systems problem, tracing the conditions under which societies hold together or come apart. The founding argument of CEDAR — that Europe's democratic strength is latent in its citizens and must be activated, not constructed — comes from that accumulated proximity to breakdown.

Paul Bell

Paul Bell

Geopolitical communications strategist. Contributor to NATO Defence Strategic Communications. Work focuses on the psychological dimensions of democratic vulnerability and foreign interference in Europe and beyond.

Mark Linder

Mark Linder

Geopolitical communications planner and infrastructure marketer. Large energy projects are his focus.

David Kenning

David Kenning

Communications strategist and psychoanalyst. Has advised governments on counter-radicalisation and the mass psychology of social fracture across Europe. Raised in Northern Ireland during the Troubles — a formative encounter with what happens when fraternity fails.

Dana Eyre

Dana Eyre

Sociologist and systems analyst focused on democratic stability. Studies the structural and psychological conditions under which societies hold together or fracture — with particular focus on peace as a process in unstable environments.

European power lies in the states of mind of its citizens. The liberating catalyst is asking the question that will not go away.

Leaders navigating difficult change need to understand the emotional readiness of their citizens — and how to use honest feedback to pace and calibrate what comes next.

Would you like to discuss any of these issues? mark.linder@cedareurope.org

In practice

The NYTKU Projekti in Finland is an initiative CEDAR inspired — asking citizens what their country is actually for, and recovering civic ambition as a felt experience before demanding that people accept difficult change.

CEDAR cedareurope.org

Catalyst for European Democratic Autonomy and Resilience

Essay

The Fourth Domain: Fraternité as the Opt-In

David Kenning and Mark Linder argue that European autonomy requires realising and leveraging our socio-psychological power of fraternité. Rather than relying on legal and regulatory mandates, they contend that in addition to raising consciousness of the power of fraternité, Europe should prioritize building infrastructure like the digital euro, which creates practical habits that will anchor a greater common purpose. By grounding a stronger sense of unity in tangible, everyday systems, fraternité emerges organically as a lived experience rather than just an abstract ideal.

We see around us that the three traditional domains of national defence — land, sea, and air — have been joined by a fourth.

In the fourth domain the contested ground is the individual citizen's state of mind: their beliefs, why they hold them, and what they are being directed to do about it.

Today's social media and AI-curated algorithms are driving the fragmentation and polarisation of those beliefs. Without shared, verifiable information, a democratic process cannot function.

Democratic values are on the front line — the most vulnerable of which is our fraternité, our sense of common purpose.

Fraternité, unlike the legally defensible values of freedom and equality, cannot be legislated for. It cannot be defended in the courts nor protected by regulation. It exists purely as a (sometimes unconscious) subjective state of mind.

And yet, quiet and hidden, fraternité is the single most important democratic characteristic that binds us with an awareness of both our shared fate and destiny — paradoxically, at the same time.

Fraternité is the lubricant that optimizes the critical functional balance of freedom and equality. Without a sense of fraternité, democratic values become instantly more fragile and attritional.

Fraternité cannot be legislated or campaigned

Europe has spent a decade legislating protection around the fourth domain. It is called the Digital Services Act. Yet, it still has no answer to the actual fight, because the actual fight is not a legal one and fines or bans can only achieve so much. The real battle is psychological, and Europe's essential defense is fraternité.

Fraternité is an internal recognition. It happens inside one person at a time. No directive can make it happen.

It's important to understand what fraternité is not: It is not a Pole coming to love a Spaniard, or a Finn developing warm feelings for a Greek. Nobody is asking for that, and demanding it would be a psychological error. Affection is not a policy lever, and pretending otherwise is how well-meaning EU communications campaigns end up sounding hollow.

Fraternité is something narrower and more durable: the moment a Pole and a Spaniard realise they are facing the same enemy, and reaching for the same future. This is shared exposure, not shared taste, shared aspiration, not shared culture.

A Belfast Catholic and a Belfast Protestant did not need to like each other to recognise, in the years before the Troubles, that they wanted the same vote and the same future for their children.

What undermined that recognition was not a change in how much they liked each other. Instead, third parties found it useful to make each side believe the other was the enemy.

That is the operation currently running against Europe. The pressure campaign coming out of Washington and Silicon Valley does not need Polish and Spanish citizens to dislike each other particularly. It only needs them to stop seeing each other as people exposed to the same risk.

Every national election framed as a referendum on Brussels, rather than on the issue actually on the ballot, does some of that work for free.

Antagonistic framing of Europe as "civilizational suicide" teaches voters, one cycle at a time, to see Europe as something done to them rather than something they are part of.

Fragmentation is not only imported, Europe learns how to practice it at home.

None of this can be fixed by better messaging, for the same reason it cannot be fixed by directive. A campaign that tells citizens they share a fate is asking them to take that claim on faith, and faith is exactly the currency the other side is also bidding for.

What works instead is a condition citizens can step into and recognise the truth of for themselves. The answer is not a better argument for fraternité. It is infrastructure that makes the shared fate real before anyone is asked to believe in it.

Shared infrastructure enables fraternité

Shared infrastructure does two things that a campaign cannot.

First, it creates dependency and habit: once enough of daily life runs through a common system, leaving it gets harder than staying, regardless of how anyone feels about their neighbours that week.

Second, and this is the part usually missed, it creates the condition under which fraternité can be opted into rather than argued for.

Nobody has to be persuaded that they share a fate with the other twenty-six countries running on the same defence network or the same energy grid. They simply notice, the day it matters, that they do. That noticing is fraternité arriving as a result of individual recognition, not as the result of a campaign.

The clearest current case is the digital euro.

For a moment, set aside the technical debate over tokenised deposits and the settlement process, and look at what the project actually does.

Practically, it removes a lever the United States currently holds and has shown willingness to use: European payments today run substantially through Visa, Mastercard and dollar-denominated infrastructure that Washington can, in principle, lean on.

A digital euro, issued and settled in central bank money, cannot be switched off from outside the eurozone. That is sovereignty in the most literal sense. Sovereignty is not a slogan about independence — it's the absence of an off-switch in someone else's hands.

We believe the psychological effect of the digital euro is larger than the practical effect.

Every time a citizen in Naples or Tallinn pays with the digital euro, they are not thinking about monetary sovereignty. They are buying coffee. But the system underneath that purchase is the same system, running the same way, for every other citizen in the eurozone, regardless of who holds power in any one capital that month.

Repeated often enough this is felt experience. The shared system simply works, every day, for everyone in it, including the person standing next to you in the queue who voted differently last election.

That is fraternité built from below, transaction by transaction, rather than asserted from above.

Fraternité from habit

This is the model worth generalising. Not a single flagship project, but a habit: wherever Europe can choose between building an argument and building a habit that produces the same recognition as a side effect, choose the habit.

The digital euro is the clearest current example because the choice is live and the stakes are visible. It will not be the last place this logic applies.

Fraternité is never going to come from a treaty. It comes from twenty-seven countries discovering, transaction by transaction, system by system, that they have already been depending on each other the whole time.

That the discovery, once made, does not need anyone's permission.

For more information, contact mark.linder@cedareurope.org

Originally published as a CEDAR working paper. View source document

CEDAR cedareurope.org

Catalyst for European Democratic Autonomy and Resilience

Essay — summary

Witness

A review essay, framed around the fiftieth anniversary of All the President's Men, on what has become of journalism's old claim to objectivity — and what is asked of journalists now that "what the hell do we do now?" is no longer a Watergate-era rhetorical question but a daily working one.

Bell opens with a memory from his first career, as a young reporter on South Africa's Rand Daily Mail in the late 1970s, recalling a visit from Washington Post editor Ben Bradlee not long after Watergate. The Mail and the Post, he writes, were "kindred spirits" in their appetite for crusading investigative journalism. That memory becomes the essay's organising question — one Bradlee is reported to have asked at the most overwhelming moment of the Watergate investigation, stripped of Hollywood's later varnish: what the hell do we do now?

Bell uses that question to interrogate his own past. Rereading his old reporting notes, he finds less moral clarity than he remembered — mostly anecdote, with little direct reckoning with the apartheid system around him. He is candid about the protection his own whiteness afforded him relative to Black colleagues who were jailed, banned, or worse, and about how the profession's claimed "objectivity" could function as a way of observing injustice without acting against it.

The essay's present-day reporting centres on a March 2026 gathering in Turda, Romania, where Bell joins journalists from Romania, Moldova, and elsewhere to discuss "journalism in a time of turbulence." To prepare, he convenes Georgian journalists he knows from five years spent in the country as it slid into what he calls elective autocracy. Their account — detailed in the essay across material, psychological, and ethical dimensions — describes a profession being systematically dismantled: prosecutions and detentions tied to protest coverage, advertising revenue diverted overwhelmingly to government-aligned outlets, loyalty tests inside the public broadcaster, and journalism enrolment collapsing as students conclude the profession no longer has a future worth training for.

From those conversations comes the essay's central ethical tension, voiced by one of Bell's Georgian contacts: journalists pushed into "survival-driven advocacy" by a hostile state, and the resulting difficulty of holding a line between professional impartiality and what looks, from the outside, like political resistance. Bell traces that same tension back through Socrates, Spinoza, and Orwell, before arriving at his own resolution — that journalism has always been a political act in the sense that matters, because freedom of speech and truth are not the same thing, and a profession that ties the first to the second will always look political to those it holds to account.

Objectivity does not have to be cold. It is not removed from the shock of reality.

The essay's title comes from its closing movement: a passage describing an unplanned visit to a Good Friday church service, where a spiritual with roots in the struggle against slavery — built around the refrain "were you there?" — prompts Bell to connect the religious idea of witnessing with the professional one. He closes by returning to small, unglamorous examples of journalism still functioning as he believes it should: a local English newspaper editor scrutinising a county council's accounts; the Romanian and Moldovan reporters he met in Turda, who have no interest in becoming media personalities and simply keep doing the work. His answer to Bradlee's question, in the end, is that there isn't a dilemma to resolve — that doing the job properly was always going to look like taking a side, and that the side in question is the public's right to know.

This is a summary prepared for CEDAR. For the full essay, see the published source below.

Bell, Paul. "Witness." Defence Strategic Communications, Volume 17, Spring 2026, pp. 199–214. NATO Strategic Communications Centre of Excellence. Read the full issue (PDF)

Note: the link may not open exactly at Paul Bell's article. "Witness" appears on pages 199–214 of the issue.